Category Archives: Guest Blogger

In Search of Sin

By Glenn Stehle

When Stephanie Kelton spoke of orthodox economics and its “one size fits all perspective” in her recent lecture at the Fields Institute, it got me to thinking that when it comes to deficit hawks, they really know how to do sin right.   And like all good religious fundamentalists, proportionality never enters the picture.  One sin takes precedence over all others, others becoming unimportant in the ardor to root out the one true evil.

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JFK and Federal Budgetary Policy

By Mathew Forstater

On this, the 50th anniversary of the assassination of President John F. Kennedy, we would do well to remind ourselves that another loss resulting from that fateful day was that of a progressive trend in leadership regarding federal budgetary policy.  The points are expressed so clearly they require no interpretation or commentary.
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Is there an antinomy between a low-carbon future and Keynesian theory?

By Glenn Stehle

In the comments section to my last post Thomas Bergbusch supplied a link to an outstanding series of posts published by a heterodox Canadian blog, The Progressive Economics Forum.  It deals with A Staple Theory of Economic Growth.”   The theory was originally articulated by Mel Watkins in 1963.

Amongst the many important questions the series raises are two which for me stand out:

1)      Is a low carbon future necessary?

2)      If so, is there an antinomy between a low carbon future and Keynesian theory?

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As the weary titan stumbles, stealing Latin America becomes more difficult

By Glenn Stehle

Correa’s four foundational policies are expanded health care, expanded education, improved infrastructure, and encouraging entrepreneurs by reducing the time and cost of starting a business in Ecuador.

[….]

Ecuador needs the money that producing the Yasuni oil can provide.

–WILLIAM K. BLACK, “Why is the economist chortling over the prospect of oil pollution in Ecuador?”

That Ecuador’s President Rafael Correa proposes extracting primary materials to pay for his ambitious policies should come as no surprise.

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Obama wants to cut Social Security

By Ben Strubel

Along with most Republicans, many Democrats, and Wall Street, President Obama wants to cut Social Security. Here is what you need to know.

What Cuts Are Being Proposed?

Obama is proposing, along with the support of Republicans and many Democrats, to change how annual increases in Social Security benefits are calculated. Obama wants to switch to a different formula, called Chained CPI. This switch would result in a benefit cut of $230 billion dollars over 10 years. All this is being done under the guise of “strengthening” the program and “securing it for future generations”.  (See here, here, here, here and here)

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Texas is the New Jerusalem of Free Market Fundamentalism, but how’s that working out for the Lone Star State’s great unwashed?

By Glenn Stehle

Texas is the De Civitate Dei, the new holy city of free market fundamentalism, and Ted Cruz, the upstart Tea Party senator from Texas, has been quick to canonize himself as its patron saint.  In case you haven’t heard it yet, Texas is now “the light and the way,” and if you don’t believe it, just ask Ted Cruz or Rick Perry, or better yet ALEC:

The Texas growth narrative is well-known by now. Texas’ population grew by 11 million people (79 percent) between 1980 and 2011, more than double the rate of growth of the nation as a whole.   With that population growth came job growth. Since the 1990s, the rate of Texas job growth has been a full percentage point or more above the national average most years.

The American Legislative Exchange Council, among others, has suggested that other states should adopt policies that will make them more like Texas in order to grow their economies. One example from the introduction to ALEC’s recent Rich States, Poor States report: “[M]any governors are looking at Texas, which has led the nation in job growth over the past three years, as the state with the best policy to emulate.”   In particular, ALEC notes the state’s tax policy as a plus.

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Solidarity and organized national purpose

By Glenn Stehle

What drove that growth? Solidarity and organized national purpose. Americans worked together as a team during the war, and that solidarity continued into the postwar decades, behind an engaged and economically pro-active government.

–DAN KERVICK, “Market Myths and the Real Drivers of American Progress”

There’s nothing like an existential threat, such as the prospect of complete annihilation of one’s own group, to motivate behavior and focus one’s mind.  Kervick’s quote reminded me of this:

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MMT vs. the merchants of doom: And the doomsayers don’t all hail from the right!

By Glenn Stehle

MMTers, I’ve observed, tend to be a somewhat optimistic lot.  This is true even, or maybe even especially, when placed in juxtaposition to influential factions of the left.

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Should We Mind the Gap?

By*:  Dylan Steelman, Samuel Ellenbogen, Scott Frank and Steve Bodenheimer

Introduction

In his May 2011 column, “Is There Really an Output Gap,” CNBC financial blogger John Carney argues that the output gap—the difference between the economy’s potential performance and its actual performance—is a flawed theoretical construct that policymakers should avoid using as a basis for economic policy.  Carney presents most of this through a “thought experiment” involving a hypothetical tobacco-based U.S. economy called Tobacco America.  In the thought experiment, demand for tobacco explodes driving up prices for various tobacco inputs and taking the economy to new heights.  Eventually the dangerous health aspects of tobacco become widely known and the demand for tobacco plummets, taking the economy down with it.  Carney uses the Tobacco America thought experiment to make two arguments against the concept of an output gap—one is stated directly and the other is strongly implied.

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Are the elites turning on each other?

By Glenn Stehle

[T]he Revolution offered the opportunity of tearing the mask of hypocrisy off the face of French society, of exposing its rottenness, and, finally, of tearing the façade of corruption down.

-HANNAH ARENDT, On Revolution

Once in a blue moon events conspire to “tear the mask of hypocrisy” off the face of what John Gray has called “the ruling mythology.”   Could we be living through such a moment?

Probably no greater evidence of this is to be found than in a recent speech Ross Gittins, economics editor of The Sydney Morning Herald, gave before the Australian National Conference on Resources and Energy.   This is what Gittins — clearly no friend to the working person — had to say:

We all pursue our self-interest, but we all cloak our self-interest in arguments about how this would be in the best interest of the economy. All I’m doing is stripping away the bulldust.

[….]

What hasn’t yet occurred to many business people – but you can be sure is well understood by the politicians and their advisers – is that when industries lobby governments for favours or in opposition to new imposts, the various industries are in competition. It’s easy to imagine the government’s coffers are a bottomless pit but, in fact, there’s only so much rent to go around….  The truth is, when one industry gets in for a big cut, there’s less left in the pot for the others.

–ROSS GITTINS, “The Political Economy Outlook for Reform,”

Stunning is the only word to describe the three admissions Gittins makes, not just in the fact he made them, but also in the matter-of-fact way he does it.  Let’s summarize:

1 )   Businessmen “cloak” their “self-interest in arguments about how this would be in the best interest of the economy,”

2)  The profits and well-being of various industries are very much dependent on what government does, as opposed to what Mr. Market does, and

3)  Businessmen are bellied up to the government trough, but there’s not unlimited largess to go around, so the various industries are in competition with each other.

All I can say is:  WOW!  Talk about tearing the mask off the myth of market fundamentalism!  Amitai Etzioni points out in The Moral Dimension that neoclassical economists have struggled long and hard to “leave out half of the story:  The use of political means for monopolistic goals.”   Now Gittins, all of a sudden, is fessing up, and in no uncertain terms, to the other half of the story.   The subterfuges of neoclassical economics are thrust out into the open.  Not only is the importance of government to corporations’ bottom line admitted to, but also the great lengths they will go to in order to manipulate government policy.

One can’t help but be reminded of when the mask got ripped off of French high society, when Louis XVI’s “ill-fated cabals and intrigues” and the “willfully corrupted manners” of “Court society” came to light.  Louis XVI’s predecessor, Louis XIV, had been able to keep these regal practices “apart from the style in which he conducted affairs of state.”  Louis XVI, on the other hand, was not so fortunate.  And when the mask got torn off, the “lower strata responded by violence and brutality” to the “mores and ‘moral’ standards, the intrigues and perfidies of high society,” which were “nothing but a rather awkwardly construed frontage with which to cover up, and win time for, an even more inept intrigue” (Hannah Arendt).

How did things come to this?  The unmasking seems to have come about due to the spread of powerful new ideas in combination with shifts in the concrete conditions of life.  For any number of reasons a society can stop expanding.  The production and distribution of goods, eventually reflected in standards of living, stalls or declines.  This pits elite against elite, as well as the frustrated struggling majority against elites of any stripe.  This is what seems to have happened in France. 

As the economic condition of France deteriorated in the 1780s, competing factions of the elite vied to capitalize on the newfound ideas of liberty, equality and popular sovereignty in order to marshal popular support for their own particular causes.  First the monarchical government, invoking equality, tried to enlist the people in the struggle to do away with the privileges of the nobles and the clergy.  The nobility and clergy paid no taxes, plus were entitled to massive government pensions.  Just one noble family, for instance, received pensions of 1.5% of the total annual revenues of the crown for doing nothing    (Eugen Weber, The Western Tradition, “39.  The death of the old regime” ).   

The privileged groups – nobles, clergy, gentlemen, lawyers, and intellectuals – struck back against the royal government, “brandishing slogans like liberty, and natural law, and representation in order to defend their privileges.”  They argued they should be liberated from paying taxes, but of course not from their generous pensions and other perks.  Mme Roland, in her final moments as she was being led to the guillotine, poignantly captured the hypocrisy inherent in the clergy and nobility’s brand of libertarianism when she cried:  “Oh Liberty, what crimes are committed in thy name!”

The revolutionary “fuses were lit,” therefore, not by the peasants and workers, but by the elites themselves.  However, it backfired on the elites.  When the Third Estate finally did come to power it proved quite capable of taking care of politics itself and all the economic privileges of the elite, whether of nobility, clergy, or officers of the crown, were abolished.

In Australia, as Gittins explains, we also see various privileged sectors currying popular support, trying to cast their special economic privileges as “a popular cause.”  Historically, however, this has not been an easy task.  As Weber goes on to explain in the next segment, “40.  The French Revolution” of the The Western Tradition, not even a highly talented politician and administrator like Napoleon was able to pull it off, and in the end popular sovereignty exerted itself and thwarted his efforts.